Prediction of Karim Mabrouk vs Marko Milosavljevic (SRB) at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 12-09-25

• In recent months, Karim Mabrouk has won 39.71% of points on their second serve, while Marko Milosavljevic has not won any. What does this suggest? Karim likely has an advantage in rallies starting with the second serve.
• Evaluating return games, Karim has succeeded in winning 45.70% of opponent's second serve points, while Marko has a 0% success rate. Could this be a deciding factor? Likely, as it shows Karim's effectiveness in return games.
• When facing the opponent's first serve, Karim wins 27.59% of points, while Marko again has a 0% success rate. This positions Karim as the likely frontrunner in making the most out of return opportunities.
• Regarding breakpoints, Karim has saved 57.45% recently, compared to Marko, who has not managed to save any. Does Karim handle pressure better? Yes, indicators point towards superior performance under pressure.
• Neither player has a significant overall win rate difference over the past year, with Karim slightly edging with 47.37% against Marko's 46.67%.
• The preferred surface for Karim is Hard, mirroring a balanced 48% win percentage, whereas Marko shows higher proficiency with a Hard surface win rate of 48% and struggles on Clay.
• Both players mainly participate in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, with Karim holding a marginally better win percentage.
• Karim's opponents, with an average rank of 231, have been lower-ranked compared to the average rank of 59 for Marko's opponents, suggesting Marko faces tougher competition.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Karim has shown resilience by winning 67% of such matches, while Marko has succeeded 40% of the time.

Editorial Prediction (December 8, 2025, UTC):

As the upcoming match approaches, Karim Mabrouk's performance on the second serve and return games positions him advantageously against Marko Milosavljevic. Despite similar win percentages over the last year, Karim's superior breakpoint saving ability signifies a mental edge in critical moments.

Marko, having encountered a higher caliber of opponents, still struggles with key metrics related to second serve wins and first serves return points, indicating potential vulnerabilities that Karim could exploit.

On their preferred hard court surface, both players showcase competitive records. However, Karim’s strength in final sets combined with his recent efficiency in saving breakpoints makes him a formidable challenger.

Given these insights, Karim Mabrouk emerges as the predicted victor for the match, leveraging his consistent edge in return games and under-pressure scenarios.